Open new tab with a logarithmic chart. Activate annotation tool.
Draw straight line tangent to EMA200 in two places.
Market
Measure LHS and RHS prices and enter them here.
Dollars or cents must match those for earnings & dividends.
Prices:
Enter width of chart to get R.O.R.
The units must be years.
#yrs:
The straight line converts investment into a "bond".
However, the R.O.R. is not guaranteed.
See volatility.
ROR:
][]23[%/yr.
Right: drop-down calendar, Left: symbol.
Measure/enter blue lines at any date as shown in Measuring Chart Volatility.
Range:
This visual method gives the statisitical range vs. %/yr growth.
Extrapolates volatility and Green Line to present time.
Up/Dn:
The Green line is the center of the trend.
Its price is used for P/E and Yield.
Trend:
$][]27[.
Insert market-related fields into HDD. The fundamentals below will be left as-is unless also checked.
Post
($Top-$Bott) relative to Green line.
More than double typical losses vs. cost.
Width: ][]28[%
Example; R.O.R. 5%/yr and Volatility 20% top to bottom.
Green line is 2yr of return below top and above bott.
][]29[yrs Return
This is a potential entry price.
On-line brokerages show red or green as at right.
Entry:
If Green line is above entry, that is an advantage (gain).
Purchasing above green line may result in a drop later.
][]2C[
Removes the stock and its data from HDD.
It over-rides checked post buttons.
Kill it
Moves the stock to the left or right in the list above.
Shift
Obtain pairs of dividends and enter them here.
There is a spreadsheet template for Least Squares Fit.
Dividends:
Management assesses whether to pay dividends, giving a clue about the company.
Ideally they should exhibit the same %/yr slope as price.
:
The straight line converts investment into a "bond".
However, the R.O.R. is not guaranteed.
See volatility.
ROR:
][]33[ %/yr.
Insert dividend-related fields into HDD. The fields above and below will be left as-is unless also checked.
Post
It may be Okay to just type in two typical values.
Otherwise, a spreadsheet can fit many points to a line.
2
^{nd}
Data Pt:
Two dividends and dates define a straight (log) line.
The logarithmic slope gives yield.
:
The straight line converts investment into a "bond".
However, the R.O.R. is not guaranteed.
See volatility.
Yield: ][]35[%/yr.
This is the percentage of earnings for shareholders.
It is also the fraction of the Earnings Yield below.
Payout: ][]36[%
Obtain pairs of EPS data and enter them here.
A spreadsheet template allows a Least Squares Fit.
Earnings:
Enter recent earnings.
The units must be $/yr.
:
The straight line converts investment into a "bond".
However, the R.O.R. is not guaranteed.
See volatility.
ROR:
][]44[ %/yr.
Insert Earnings-related fields into HDD line. Fields above will be left as-is unless also checked.
Post
LHS earnings and its date define a straight line.
The lines for price and earnings give projected P/E.
2
^{nd}
Data Pt:
Enter earlier earnings.
The units must be $/yr.
:
P/E:
The straight line converts investment into a "bond".
However, the R.O.R. is not guaranteed.
See volatility.
][]45[
The yield above is paid in cash to shareholders.
This one includes earnings set aside for capital investment.
Earnings Yield: ][]46[%/yr.
User name, date.
Opinion of opportunity.
N.B.